?url_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Adc&rft.relation=http%3A%2F%2Fmiis.maths.ox.ac.uk%2Fmiis%2F611%2F&rft.title=Validating+an+Operations+Centre+Model&rft.creator=Hecht%2C+C.&rft.creator=Hewitt%2C+D.&rft.creator=Piwarska%2C+K.&rft.creator=Smith%2C+L.&rft.creator=Thompson%2C+E.&rft.creator=Wilson%2C+E.&rft.subject=Transport+and+Automotive&rft.subject=Aerospace+and+defence&rft.subject=Decision+making&rft.description=An+airline+operations+centre+determines+the+imminent+and+future+operations+of+an+airline+by+assessing+the+current+situation%2C+considering+current+constraints+and+then+issuing+a+high+level+plan%2C+describing+which+flights+are+operating%2C+which+are+cancelled%2C+which+are+delayed+or+rerouted%2C+impacting+aircraft%2C+air+crew%2C+flight+cabin+crew%2C+passengers+and+ground+staff.+Other+departments+of+the+airline+transform+the+high+level+plan+into+detailed+execution+instructions.+In+the+event%2C+the+system+consists+of+a+mixture+of+humans+and+machines+both+of+which+often+provide+and+receive+incomplete+information%2C+on+which+they+make+a+decision%2C+striving+to+execute+as+close+as+possible+the+%E2%80%98Ideal+Plan%E2%80%99%2C+which+is+the+published+timetable.+The+Airline+Operations+Decision+Making+Process+is+the+%E2%80%98planning%E2%80%99+portion+determining+the+next+course+of+action%2C+and+the+Airline+Operations+is+the+execution+portion%2C+putting+the+plans+into+action.+In+this+context%2C+the+Study+Group+was+asked+to+address+the+following+problem%3A+How+do+you+validate+a+model+of+an+airline%E2%80%99s+decision+processes+to+ensure+a+faithful+representation+of+reality%3F%0D%0A%0D%0ABy+analysing+model+outputs+and+actual+data%2C+we+found+that+the+model+does+not+satisfy+any+of+our+proposed+%E2%80%9Cvalidation%E2%80%9D+criteria+and+have+therefore+suggested+a+series+of+possible+ways+forward+for+the+model+development+team.+We+have+provided+visualisation+tools+in+both+Matlab+and+R%2C+which+will+be+of+use+in+analysing+subsequent+model+versions.+We+have+also+provided+a+series+of+statistical+indicators+of+model+quality.+Lastly%2C+and+perhaps+most+importantly%2C+we+have+described+in+detail+what+can+be+done+if+additional+information+were+to+be+made+available%2C+for+instance+further+runs+of+the+model+or+extra+data+from+the+operations+centre.&rft.date=2013&rft.type=Study+Group+Report&rft.type=NonPeerReviewed&rft.format=application%2Fpdf&rft.language=en&rft.identifier=http%3A%2F%2Fmiis.maths.ox.ac.uk%2Fmiis%2F611%2F1%2Fge_aviation.pdf&rft.identifier=++Hecht%2C+C.+and+Hewitt%2C+D.+and+Piwarska%2C+K.+and+Smith%2C+L.+and+Thompson%2C+E.+and+Wilson%2C+E.++(2013)+Validating+an+Operations+Centre+Model.++%5BStudy+Group+Report%5D+++++