relation: http://miis.maths.ox.ac.uk/miis/729/ title: Short term power forecasts for large offshore wind turbine arrays creator: Benjamin, Oscar creator: Mina, Petros creator: Arany, Laszlo creator: Connaughton, Colm creator: Cox, Sam creator: Kresoja, Milena creator: Shukla, Abhishek creator: Wheatcroft, Ed creator: Tull, James creator: Groth, Samuel creator: Jenkins, Sian creator: Budd, Chris creator: Smith, Leonard subject: Environment subject: Energy and utilities description: Methods are presented for precise prediction of windspeeds at a wind- farm using a combination of numerical weather prediction models and on-site wind speed measurements. Simple techniques are used to inves- tigate the properties of the data. More advanced techniques are tested for the predictive value in forecasting including techniques from autore- gressive models, data assimilation, artificial neural networks and kernel dressing. The performance of the resulting forecasts are compared with the measured wind speeds using a range of forecast windows. date: 2013 type: Study Group Report type: NonPeerReviewed format: application/pdf language: en identifier: http://miis.maths.ox.ac.uk/miis/729/1/ESGI91-Garad_CaseStudy.pdf identifier: Benjamin, Oscar and Mina, Petros and Arany, Laszlo and Connaughton, Colm and Cox, Sam and Kresoja, Milena and Shukla, Abhishek and Wheatcroft, Ed and Tull, James and Groth, Samuel and Jenkins, Sian and Budd, Chris and Smith, Leonard (2013) Short term power forecasts for large offshore wind turbine arrays. [Study Group Report]