eprintid: 729 rev_number: 8 eprint_status: archive userid: 17 dir: disk0/00/00/07/29 datestamp: 2018-05-27 18:02:50 lastmod: 2018-05-27 18:02:50 status_changed: 2018-05-27 18:02:50 type: report metadata_visibility: show creators_name: Benjamin, Oscar creators_name: Mina, Petros creators_name: Arany, Laszlo creators_name: Connaughton, Colm creators_name: Cox, Sam creators_name: Kresoja, Milena creators_name: Shukla, Abhishek creators_name: Wheatcroft, Ed creators_name: Tull, James creators_name: Groth, Samuel creators_name: Jenkins, Sian creators_name: Budd, Chris creators_name: Smith, Leonard corp_creators: Jeremy Parkes title: Short term power forecasts for large offshore wind turbine arrays ispublished: pub subjects: environment subjects: utilities studygroups: esgi91 companyname: GL Garad Hassan full_text_status: public abstract: Methods are presented for precise prediction of windspeeds at a wind- farm using a combination of numerical weather prediction models and on-site wind speed measurements. Simple techniques are used to inves- tigate the properties of the data. More advanced techniques are tested for the predictive value in forecasting including techniques from autore- gressive models, data assimilation, artificial neural networks and kernel dressing. The performance of the resulting forecasts are compared with the measured wind speeds using a range of forecast windows. date: 2013 citation: Benjamin, Oscar and Mina, Petros and Arany, Laszlo and Connaughton, Colm and Cox, Sam and Kresoja, Milena and Shukla, Abhishek and Wheatcroft, Ed and Tull, James and Groth, Samuel and Jenkins, Sian and Budd, Chris and Smith, Leonard (2013) Short term power forecasts for large offshore wind turbine arrays. [Study Group Report] document_url: http://miis.maths.ox.ac.uk/miis/729/1/ESGI91-Garad_CaseStudy.pdf